Why did Obama drop 23 points in popularity over Bush in one year?
Posted by Viv on October 9, 2010
According to a CNN poll conducted recently, Barack Obama only rates two points higher than George W. Bush when it comes to job performance.
By 47 to 45 percent, Americans say Obama is a better president than George W. Bush. But that two point margin is down from a 23 point advantage one year ago.
What does this poll mean? I think the most noticeable point is the 23 point drop over such a short period of time – only one year. How can a president who convinced 52% of Americans to vote for him because he was NOT Bush, lose such ground so quickly? Obama bamboozled so many voters into believing that Bush had destroyed our nation and only he could make this travesty right. With the help of the Democrat-controlled Congress, he would fix it and make it better. Change. Hope.
So let’s see what changes did happen in the last year.
- Removal of combat troops in Iraq
- Troop surge in Afghanistan
- Tuition tax rebates and better student loan access for students
- Financial regulation
- Health care reform legislation
- Stimulus/Recovery Act
- Moratorium on deep water drilling
- Two supreme court justice appointments
- Lawsuit against the State of Arizona for law enforcement legislation
- Cash for clunkers
- Federal appliance rebates
That’s quite a lot accomplished, if you think of it from a Democrat perspective. Okay, so he hasn’t closed the Guantanamo base, or passed immigration reform, or legislation that forces employers to provide pensions for employees, or single-payer health reform, or, or… Cut him a break. He and the Democrats can’t do it ALL in one year, right?
I went back and looked over some campaign speeches that Obama made to see what kinds of promises he made to voters and it looks as if he has accomplished quite a lot of things he pledged – with the help of the Democrats in Congress, of course. Again, this has all been in the last year, since the last poll was taken by CNN.
So if Obama and the Democrats have accomplished so much that they promised over the last year, why is there such a large disparity in this poll? And why are so many Democrats running from their accomplishments in an off-year election cycle? Because these policies only appealed to a small portion of their voters.
The second point to not overlook in this poll is that Bush gained 23 points in popularity over the last year. Did you get that? Twenty-three percent more of the people polled now think Bush’s job performance exceeds that of Obama’s. Why? Bush hasn’t been in the public discussing policy. He hasn’t criticized the President. He really hasn’t been seen at all, except when he was working with former President Clinton for relief in Haiti. Or when he was greeting in the airport, the troops who were returning home from battle.
So what has Obama done that is bad enough for Bush to gain that much ground? What has Bush done that makes people rethink their support of the Democrat agenda?
There is a third point in this poll.
Most Republicans say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this year. But only a third of Democrats feel the same way.
Again, I’m left scratching my head. If the Democrats accomplished so much, wouldn’t their supporters want to make sure to keep those people in office to keep up the momentum? Wouldn’t they want to give Obama an opportunity to complete the other items he promised to do? Wouldn’t they have enough faith that a Congress and a President who accomplished so much over a year, would have the tenacity to create those jobs and get the economy back on track?
Finally, I’m convinced this polling change is partly due to regret by the Republicans who voted for Obama because they didn’t like McCain (in addition to those who stubbornly stayed home and didn’t vote at all). I’ll never be convinced that Democrats had an epiphany and now believe that Bush may have actually been a better president than Obama. There were just too many of them with BDS to have that kind of significant change in attitude in one year. So it has to be due to the genuine regret by the independent voters that holds the most underlying significance.
Fifty-nine percent of independents disapprove of how the Obama’s handling his duties, with 37 percent giving him a thumbs up.
It sounds clear to me. They got sold a bill of goods and now they have exponential buyer’s remorse. Hopefully they will give the bill of goods back on November 2nd.